Impact of Global Crisis now being felt in Australian Property
Australia has weathered the recent global financial crisis
better than most countries. Thanks to a more stringent set of banking laws, it
did not experience the same sub-prime issues that other nations did. As
a result it had one of the strongest economies in the world after the crisis
began. However, the average Australian has seen relatively little benefit from
this, due to a quickly rising cost of living. In a relatively short period of
time, Australia has become more expensive to live in than almost any other country.
Living in Australian cities is now less affordable than even New York, London,
or Singapore are. This is having a significant negative impact on many first
time home buyers.
The Rising Cost of Living in Australia
Sydney is
now the sixth most expensive city to live in out of all the countries in the
world. Even though the Australian dollar has nearly doubled in value relative
to the US dollar between 2002 and 2011, the purchasing power of the average
Australian has not increased at all. The price of imported goods has not been
significantly reduced as a result. Over this same period, the Consumer Price
Index rose by a whopping 28 percent. The average Australian home owner spends
45 percent of his or her income after taxes just in paying off debts. One in
five first time Australian home owners spends more than half of his or her
income paying off debt. This is a significantly higher level of debt than that
carried by citizens of most other developed countries. The citizens of the
United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Ireland, India, and Mexico had an
average of 38 percent of their income spent on debt.
The Rising Cost of Housing in Australia
In
the 1980, an average house cost three times the median family income, which is
considered to be an affordable level. Today, the average house costs nine times
the median family income, which is not very affordable. Interest rates have
been rising as well, making mortgage payments higher and more difficult to
meet. Mortgage payments now account for over 27 percent of the total household
income. As of 2010, more than 40 percent of all first time home buyers were
having some degree of difficulty paying their mortgages. In other words,
housing costs are skyrocketing at the same time that it is becoming more
difficult for Australians to purchase food, fuel, and all of the other
necessities of living. This is counterintuitive, as Australia's abundance of
land should mean that housing prices are amongst the lowest in the world. Nor is
the government able to do much to ameliorate this situation. There is very
little public housing available, the government only provides 1.4 percent of
Australia's total housing property, and is loath to build
large amounts of additional housing for fear of negatively impacting existing
house prices and causing economic instability.
The Effect on First Time Home Buyers
This has radically changed the
home buying landscape in Australia. In the 1970s, the average age of a first
time home buyer was 25. Today, it is 31. Many young people are now finding home
ownership to be entirely out of reach, and are having to settle for either
renting, or continuing to live with their parents. In a recent survey of
members of the youngest generation, Generation Y, one out of three respondents
replied that they did not believe that they would ever be able to afford a home
of their own when asked. Generation Y may be shaping up to become the first
"homeless generation." This kind of radical change in living patterns
would have repercussions across almost every facet of Australian life.
Home Ownership and Dynastic Wealth
This
pessimistic housing outlook may spur some "Mum and Dad investors"
into thinking that they should play it safe, and wait to see how the global
financial crisis plays out before making a move. This kind of fear can be the
wrong reaction, though. Many of the biggest fortunes were made during
recessions and even during depressions, and the perennial wisdom that
"there is security in land" is as true as ever. Now is the time for
Mum and Dad investors to buy a home because no matter what happens with the
economy, that home offers significant long term profit of one kind or another.
With prices and interest rates going up, it is better to buy a home sooner
rather than later. If the economy rebounds after the recession in the same way
that it has tended to historically, then this home will have been a good
investment financially. Even if the economy does not rebound, then parental
investors will still have gained in another important way. They'll have created
dynastic wealth, something that will be passed on to their children and their childrens
children
Mum and Dad investors putting
their money into buying a home are helping subsequent generations to have a
better standard of living, a substantial investment in the family's future. As
with many economic downturns in the past, the present situation presents an
opportunity for those who look toward the long term when assessing their
investment opportunities.
From The Author
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